Wallet profile

Digital-Pannier

0x18b84caa510f257bc961daa88a738994ae66c368

activity 47/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

47/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

199

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-480.2K

Realised

$-17.2K

Win rate

41%

29 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 199

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$124.9K

Trades

3

Buy share

43%

Window

Jun 24, 20:50 UTC → Jul 12, 08:26 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $19.5K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

54/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

41% win rate over 29 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

43 live trades, 11 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$41.2K

3 trades

Buy share

43%

Sample

medium

11 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

$31.2K · 25% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)25% of recorded volume$31.2KExact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?13% of recorded volume$16.2KUnited States leading at halftime?12% of recorded volume$15.5K

Profile dimensions

Activity67 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence97 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry46 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
43
Avg trade size
$1.7K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 12, 08:10 UTC
Last active
Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
Win rate sample
29 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 19:20:07 UTC·src:Polymarket Data