Exalted-Brink
0x18dfb6341e53563e6345f2a659fedf47d6799c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$83.09
Total PnL
$0.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?
23 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$22.10
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Nixon" during Chinese State Banquet?
16 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$15.75
$0.00
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.87
$0.28
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$8.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Tiger" during Chinese State Banquet?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 13, 2026$4.91
$-0.04
- NO
Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 13, 2026$4.86
$-0.09
- NO
Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$4.83
$0.58
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.80
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?$22.11May 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nixon" during Chinese State Banquet?$15.76May 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tiger" during Chinese State Banquet?$4.95May 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?$4.95May 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?$4.28May 14, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$9.61May 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.03May 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00May 13, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00May 13, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$11.18May 13, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.01May 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00May 13, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.00May 13, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$16.51May 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.01May 13, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$5.08May 13, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.03May 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$9.85May 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.03May 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04May 13, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".