Livid-Institute
0x18f0c369e8261576ee6d76423b57b92d84510265
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$8.59
Total PnL
$-72.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$0.98
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$0.90
- YES
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2541 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.00Feb 21, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Hornets$1.11Feb 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Hornets$1.00Feb 10, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on US military by January 31?$1.14Feb 10, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike ≤3 countries in January 2026?$1.18Feb 10, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$2.08Feb 10, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.17Feb 10, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.27Feb 10, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$2.86Feb 10, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Clippers$1.00Feb 3, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Jazz$1.11Jan 30, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs$1.11Jan 30, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Jazz$1.00Jan 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Rockets$0.06Jan 29, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Rockets$1.00Jan 29, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUCLA Bruins vs. Oregon Ducks$1.00Jan 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado State Rams vs. San Diego State Aztecs$1.00Jan 29, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.25Jan 29, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from any Other state?$1.37Jan 29, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs$1.00Jan 29, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.