Substantial-Nonsense
0x1919f13395a7d5b12508e55e4fcce34e5a258f92
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$14.93
Total PnL
$-17.08
Realised
$-0.94
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.45
$0.35
- YES
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1485 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.23
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?
23 shares @ 7.2¢·now 8.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.81
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 4?
6 shares @ 14.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.53
$0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 13.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.35
$0.69
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.67
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?$0.972h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?$0.722h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 4?$1.004h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?$0.345h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 4?$0.9110h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?$0.6015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?$0.0215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 4?$0.3015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 4?$0.2315h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?$1.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?$1.1016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?$0.6516h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 4?$0.5616h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 4?$0.3016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?$0.3316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?$0.2416h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$0.593d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$3.973d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$6.283d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".