Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.8pp
24h Vol
$104.0K
Liquidity
$114.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4540.2h
- 19:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4540h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYHAMISH STEWART2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- SELLOVER2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- SELLNO2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Oct 31, 2026
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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