Political-Dependency
0x195790b557b433c5c3e9c75b7a410a2b40779978
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$782.74
Total PnL
$-0.15
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$417.50
$-22.50
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
309 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$309.13
$15.80
- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
27 shares @ 88.3¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.16
$1.32
- NO
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$19.29
$4.29
- NO
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?
11 shares @ 90.9¢·now 88.9¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$9.51
$-0.21
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
2 shares @ 89.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.15
$0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 25, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.