Double-Temperature
0x19adbc23e2ec2b655a6b387d53445fc2c3c42dbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$419.29
Total PnL
$-375.91
Realised
$-26.87
Win rate
29%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$125.00
$105.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
68 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.57
$42.57
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
48 shares @ 73.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$47.64
$12.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
43 shares @ 70.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$42.84
$12.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?
36 shares @ 54.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$35.64
$16.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?
25 shares @ 50.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$25.19
$12.51
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.39
$7.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
16 shares @ 29.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$16.14
$11.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 22?
16 shares @ 30.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$15.67
$10.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$12.13
$7.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.