Tight-Mrna
0x1a3384317ea202c45aba8079d13368c5cebafcb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$37.34
Total PnL
$6.69
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
158 shares @ 6.5¢·now 13.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.75
$10.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 71.7¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.55
$0.05
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.36
$-0.05
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.31
$-0.15
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.58Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 14, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5$1.18Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.01Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.01Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.59Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.02Jun 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 12, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5$1.12Jun 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5$1.00Jun 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.07Jun 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.44Jun 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$1.01Jun 11, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.52Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.