Barren-Caffeine
0x1a3b48d8a0951ef392cd25d62c7381d6e6b4e6b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$257.20
Total PnL
$-115.58
Realised
$-5.49
Win rate
57%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
98 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$98.00
$2.25
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
73 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$73.00
$37.23
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
31 shares @ 82.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$31.00
$5.38
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
29 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$29.00
$8.41
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,200,000 and 2,300,000?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$4.00
$0.56
- NO
Will DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$4.00
$1.08
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.00
$2.12
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.00
$1.44
- NO
Will André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$3.00
$0.45
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$2.00
$0.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$27.60Jan 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$17.40Jan 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$3.65Jan 15, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$2.70Jan 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$15.08Jan 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$5.22Jan 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$2.90Jan 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$2.52Jan 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$2.06Jan 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$13.92Jan 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$5.94Jan 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$12.73Jan 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$3.54Jan 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$2.95Jan 15, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$4.86Jan 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$7.29Jan 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$2.47Jan 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$24.64Jan 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.11Jan 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.33Jan 15, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".