Equal-Seagull
0x1a7ca14482e84105f9589f9f4184c568a37cc26b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$294.26
Total PnL
$-898.81
Realised
$-63.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
300 shares @ 26.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$121.50
$43.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
490 shares @ 29.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.95
$-69.55
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
400 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.00
$-34.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.12
$-17.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
350 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.70
$-27.30
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
578 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.33
$-128.06
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
130 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.67
$-14.23
- NO
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
30000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-488.37
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 31?
480 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$6.03May 29, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$3.90May 13, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$16.90May 11, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$0.00May 8, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00May 8, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?$0.00May 8, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$0.00May 8, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$0.00May 8, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.00May 8, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.00May 8, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$0.00May 8, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$0.00May 8, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00May 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$24.00May 8, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$43.20May 6, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$42.00May 2, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$76.00May 2, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$78.00May 2, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$102.30May 2, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$111.91May 2, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $44.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.