Scarce-Favorite
0x1ab01f9ab99f51075eca560da58745e04e626a26
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$188.38
Total PnL
$-4.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
51 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.52
$0.28
- NO
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
51 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.77
$-0.10
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 95.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.53
$-4.29
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
44 shares @ 98.6¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$42.57
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$50.79Jun 6, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$9.73Jun 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$24.30Jun 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$2.50Jun 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$7.74Jun 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$3.00Jun 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$30.85May 29, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$19.02May 29, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$49.82May 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.23May 28, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$50.74May 28, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$6.58May 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$49.97May 25, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$1.00May 25, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$16.51May 25, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$10.00May 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$16.32May 25, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$48.67May 23, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AppLovin acquire TikTok?$20.79May 23, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?$50.65May 22, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.