Mindless-Wit
0x1ab5fef31af92c9d404d2293a0ccf7fa1aeb4859
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$793.11
Total PnL
$46.32
Realised
$0.92
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
442 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$281.77
$60.77
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
524 shares @ 48.2¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$189.85
$-62.78
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
105 shares @ 12.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$35.14
$22.59
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
30 shares @ 67.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.93
$1.92
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
23 shares @ 84.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.42
$1.42
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 51.2¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.98
$3.98
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
92 shares @ 14.5¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$19.41
$5.98
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
61 shares @ 16.7¢·now 29.4¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$18.02
$7.78
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
60 shares @ 20.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$15.36
$3.09
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
73 shares @ 15.7¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.54
$3.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$28.00May 16, 08:58 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.00May 16, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$1.35May 16, 07:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$4.13May 15, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.03May 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$4.11May 14, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$3.00May 14, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.01May 14, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$5.02May 14, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin visit China by May 31?$3.53May 14, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$0.40May 14, 10:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$0.00May 13, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?$0.00May 13, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$0.00May 13, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$3.39May 13, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".