Pessimistic-Certainty
0x1abf2ab6e2011211d7dd8439cd25e27b192b0e9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$44.59
Total PnL
$-4.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?
21 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$15.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24?$5.12May 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?$15.13May 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?$5.13May 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$10.12May 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$1.03May 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$10.20May 18, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$16.67May 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.12May 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?$3.08May 10, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$0.00May 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$9.13May 5, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".