Repentant-Decimal
0x1ad17035986496583d807f16ebf94db3cce8e881
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$382.77
Total PnL
$-67.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
1322 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$151.98
$19.32
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 16.1¢·now 35.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.05
$57.75
- YES
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
79 shares @ 38.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.03
$13.03
- YES
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 67.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.14
$9.14
- YES
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$28.65
$8.65
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?
135 shares @ 14.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$18.91
$-1.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 20 - April 26 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
29 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?$20.51Jul 1, 17:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$25.64Jun 30, 23:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$20.13Jun 29, 23:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$31.06Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.25Jun 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.40Jun 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$30.56Jun 26, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.29Jun 26, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.23Jun 26, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$111.11Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $24.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.