Magnificent-Litmus
0x1ae46aff8cdfdb704f8fa782b5e5aa4a3d077b1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.15
Total PnL
$-30.88
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
161 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.85
$-0.88
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.30
$-4.10
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?
386 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- BAKERSFIELD ROADRUNNERS
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. CSUN Matadors
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TROY
Troy vs. James Madison
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$5.40Mar 8, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$6.00Feb 26, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$5.80Feb 26, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$2.34Feb 26, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$1.08Feb 26, 14:38 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Feb 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$0.18Feb 25, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$5.60Feb 25, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$5.26Feb 25, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.76Feb 25, 04:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.41Feb 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$8.14Feb 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.73Jan 20, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-07?$2.90Dec 7, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$4.00Dec 7, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTroy vs. James Madison$1.00Dec 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Stars$1.00Dec 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Knicks$1.00Dec 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBakersfield Roadrunners vs. CSUN Matadors$1.00Dec 5, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$1.00Dec 5, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 04:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".