0x1b3d3f7bb4887b661c80188c5da42e4a74675222
0x1b3d3f7bb4887b661c80188c5da42e4a74675222
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$34.19
Total PnL
$8.50
Realised
$13.47
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
89 shares @ 10.6¢·now 6.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.07
$-3.30
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 31.7¢·now 28.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.12
$-0.39
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
90 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.92
$0.04
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 19.7¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.76
$-0.09
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
234 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.52
$-0.62
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.07May 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.54May 14, 02:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.07May 13, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.06May 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21May 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.98May 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.22May 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.12May 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.35May 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.63May 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$5.32May 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.05May 13, 12:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.00May 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 12, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$1.20May 12, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".