Pleasing-Greatness
0x1b46b21de582843d60287d7dc717ee459a86edba
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.72
Total PnL
$-8.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 6?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.43
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 11?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 11?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 11?$1.15Jul 10, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 11?$1.14Jul 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 6?$1.42Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.04Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.17Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.82Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.19Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 28, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.03Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.17Jun 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.82Jun 14, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.17May 31, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$1.04May 9, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?$1.03May 9, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?$1.05May 9, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.06May 9, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by April 30?$1.18May 9, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.19May 9, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.