Idolized-Strife-Aftershock
0x1bc38461df16adaae614478a9223b160576fa6c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$16.54
Total PnL
$-400.31
Realised
$-64.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$6.73
$1.73
- YES
Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
15 shares @ 54.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.93
$-4.07
- YES
Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
11 shares @ 28.1¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.46
$-0.54
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
256 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
247 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
113 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
112 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET$14.34May 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET$96.42May 17, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$45.45May 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$20.78May 17, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$72.38May 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$41.06May 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$4.45May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.46May 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.44May 17, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET$57.37May 17, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET$27.39May 16, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$27.08May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$13.47May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET$5.50May 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET$10.43May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET$10.38May 16, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00May 16, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$20.83May 16, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "2026" be said on ICEMAN?$14.39May 15, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said on ICEMAN?$11.02May 15, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".