Responsible-Tennis
0x1bdddeed9fe6b1cc086a87a1f6f8ba3b2d7b31ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-321.94
Realised
$134.66
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3986 shares @ 89.4¢·now 92.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.7K
$137.74
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
700 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$623.00
$70.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
591 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$544.77
$5.73
- NO
UK Recession in 2026?
612 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$523.61
$217.46
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
600 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$513.00
$9.27
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
500 shares @ 72.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$347.25
$-13.25
- NO
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 72.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.29
$34.21
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
489 shares @ 7.7¢·now 11.7¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$57.21
$19.34
- NO
Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?
40 shares @ 90.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$39.78
$3.48
- YES
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 49.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.46
$-39.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.35Jul 26, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$131.35Jul 22, 02:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$108.44Jul 19, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.76Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?$506.97Jul 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$451.85Jul 17, 16:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?$540.93Jul 16, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$221.37Jul 16, 21:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$134.70Jul 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.98Jul 15, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.98Jul 15, 01:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15Jul 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.05Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $119.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.