Nutty-Carter
0x1c560b61a14bb030f2eceeda8f1da9074c3f0b1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$140.75
Total PnL
$-1.08
Realised
$27.59
Win rate
46%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
36 shares @ 89.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.84
$-1.13
- NO
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
19 shares @ 89.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.83
$-0.16
- NO
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
15 shares @ 73.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.51
$0.22
- NO
Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.85
$-0.13
- NO
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
10 shares @ 92.3¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.63
$-0.06
- NO
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.27
$-0.22
- NO
Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.06
$-0.85
- NO
Will the People Power Party win 6 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will the People Power Party win 0 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.50
$-0.55
- NO
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.5¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.47
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$703.69May 15, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.65May 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.93May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$3.70May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$2.45May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.62May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.98May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.92May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 0 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.99May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.67May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$3.83May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 6 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.99May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$4.96May 15, 19:35 UTC
- CONVERSIONBrazil Presidential Election$5.00May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.64May 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.76May 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.71May 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.99May 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.94May 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.99May 15, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".