Fancy-Graduate
0x1c829ce5adf53701950059c9b0eb4c97437de695
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$17.52
Total PnL
$0.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Feb 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Feb 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$1.00Jan 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Jan 22, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 24, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$1.00Dec 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 9, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Nov 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Nov 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$1.00Nov 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 6, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?$1.05Oct 29, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marques Brownlee's next video get between 4.0–5.5 million views on week 1?$1.11Oct 29, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 27?$1.15Oct 29, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.00Oct 29, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 27?$1.00Oct 22, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marques Brownlee's next video get between 4.0–5.5 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 15, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$1.12Oct 8, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean Smart win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series?$1.16Oct 8, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 05:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.