Flowery-Hire
0x1c8fc445252eb2ee6790df4db61becc0245c4182
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.08
Total PnL
$-233.13
Realised
$-16.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.78
$-23.72
- YES
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.30
$-2.10
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
411 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.89
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
137 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $180 in October?
57 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-46.25
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
51 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-45.71
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
32 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$6.17May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$3.40May 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21.20May 16, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21.60May 16, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.38May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.70May 16, 01:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.50May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$26.31May 15, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$28.00May 15, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.67May 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.44May 15, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.80May 15, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.86May 15, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.59May 15, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.20May 15, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.00May 15, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.11May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.00May 15, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.68May 15, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".