Hopeful-Bidet
0x1c931a0b54b96e98e78ff1d28b19a4cb0a8dbe13
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.97
Total PnL
$-4.80
Realised
$9.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$0.10
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.06
- FC ZLÍN
Spread: FK Teplice (-1.5)
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: FK Teplice (-1.5)$14.60May 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$470.38Mar 28, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$45.03Mar 28, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$799.93Mar 28, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$188.33Mar 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$805.91Mar 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$321.22Mar 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$115.01Mar 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$86.43Mar 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$10.97Mar 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$208.99Mar 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$823.97Mar 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$473.95Mar 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$234.31Mar 28, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$819.61Mar 28, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$238.07Mar 28, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$13.00Mar 28, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.2KMar 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.2KMar 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$1.2KMar 28, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $507.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 03:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".