Foolish-Contrail
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$276.6K
Total PnL
$-96.7K
Realised
$96.7K
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
637102 shares @ 12.8¢·now 29.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$185.7K
$104.5K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
51966 shares @ 63.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.6K
$18.7K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
68446 shares @ 29.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.4K
$19.5K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
838566 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-134.9K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
376372 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.9K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
305055 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-37.2K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
243990 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-31.8K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
198703 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.2K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
150669 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.6K
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
140596 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$437.85Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$456.00Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.6KJun 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.1KJun 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$760.14Jun 12, 09:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.24Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$13.70Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.54Jun 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.6KJun 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$508.34Jun 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$252.26Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.80Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$444.32Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.26Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$103.67Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.3KJun 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12.51Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$319.84Jun 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.2KJun 11, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$50.0K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 24, 09:20 UTC → May 27, 06:35 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$23.6K@22¢May 27, 06:35 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$26.4K@23¢May 24, 09:15 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$50.0K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
$26.4K · 53% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $978.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.