Ill-Informed-Earmuffs
0x1cd4f5db0e79e8510a049413e43de982ba420796
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$44.80
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$389.27
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
2766 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.51
$-622.99
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
3275 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.29
$-377.21
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
6185 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-916.39
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
5436 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-788.76
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5214 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
3842 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-192.48
- YES
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
1902 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-246.54
- YES
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
1481 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-103.65
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
1000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-460.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$2.82Apr 19, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$20.95Apr 19, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$0.21Apr 19, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$134.40Apr 18, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$2.50Apr 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$0.87Apr 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$10.05Apr 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$2.17Apr 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$170.34Apr 17, 20:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$365.12Apr 8, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $36.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.