0x1ceb2da5eaa92c06b0a570f8171826a4e6bbb03c
0x1ceb2da5eaa92c06b0a570f8171826a4e6bbb03c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$107.81
Total PnL
$-331.62
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
818 shares @ 7.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.12
$-31.88
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.79
$-6.21
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
114 shares @ 17.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$13.12
$-6.88
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.88
$-0.12
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
377 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.92
$-12.08
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
78 shares @ 19.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.39
$-7.61
- YES
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 17.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$-17.77
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$226.93Jun 12, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 5, 03:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 2, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 2, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 1, 22:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $19.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.