Cultivated-Maniac
0x1d0acfa6db1cc256954de825a95991eab6cded66
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$395.77
Total PnL
$-202.92
Realised
$5.47
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
70 shares @ 33.8¢·now 34.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.34
$0.59
- NO
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
55 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$23.47
$-0.28
- NO
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
39 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.36
$-0.39
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
38 shares @ 61.9¢·now 60.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$23.07
$-0.67
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
28 shares @ 73.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.03
$1.80
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
46 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.81
$0.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$19.73
$4.74
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 74.8¢·now 75.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.57
$0.27
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$18.41
$0.89
- NO
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
23 shares @ 67.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$16.70
$1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$24.03Jun 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.72Jun 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.90Jun 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.65Jun 15, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.97Jun 15, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$7.88Jun 15, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$9.75Jun 15, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.84Jun 15, 04:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.52Jun 14, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$7.66Jun 14, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$8.02Jun 14, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$4.99Jun 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$7.01Jun 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$9.99Jun 14, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$10.70Jun 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.46Jun 14, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.16Jun 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$4.74Jun 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$23.90Jun 14, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.