Superficial-Margin
0x1d40b0738d4211b1f2a3911174f7a84e6e28f14d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.88
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.88
$-19.12
- YES
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
6973 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-559.99
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
6667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
4841 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-370.99
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
2525 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
417 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
357 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
276 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
264 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$100.00Feb 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$120.00Feb 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$40.00Feb 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$31.68Feb 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$100.00Feb 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$100.00Feb 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$200.00Feb 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?$40.00Feb 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 15, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$60.00Jan 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 4, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$0.00Jan 4, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$196.08Jan 4, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$20.00Dec 29, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$100.00Dec 12, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$130.70Nov 15, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$10.00Nov 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$100.00Nov 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$15.00Nov 12, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$15.00Nov 11, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $79.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.