Free-Soprano
0x1d5722b395ae13a89aa8a05c2f12915897e2c5b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
36318 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-96.86
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
8434 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- JEREMY STEPHENS
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
2542 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
1775 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-761.96
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8?
1385 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-337.95
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
701 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-294.00
- YES
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
499 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-73.88
- WALDO CORTES-ACOSTA
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
240 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-114.62
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$15.30Jun 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$5.10Jun 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$307.32Jun 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$188.00Jun 28, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$83.50Jun 28, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$83.18Jun 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$73.60Jun 28, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$73.02Jun 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$164.00Jun 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$164.81Jun 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$7.20Jun 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$0.22Jun 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$160.00Jun 28, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$2.1KJun 27, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$200.00Jun 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$50.00Jun 27, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by June 30?$895.19Jun 27, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by June 30?$397.20Jun 27, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by June 27?$1.2KJun 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by June 27?$830.00Jun 27, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $233.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.