Pretty-Mother
0x1d5f88f1b97317cccad804374e5bd847512e634d
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$105.6K
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
47%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
15960 shares @ 75.3¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$12.0K
$27.64
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
11357 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.2K
$447.72
- YES
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
7298 shares @ 86.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$6.6K
$323.39
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
5721 shares @ 92.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.7K
$354.67
- YES
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
5842 shares @ 83.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$4.9K
$15.12
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
5997 shares @ 86.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2026$4.9K
$-356.31
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
4733 shares @ 87.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$4.5K
$360.43
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
5009 shares @ 73.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$556.89
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
4210 shares @ 82.5¢·now 94.7¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$4.0K
$512.05
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
3728 shares @ 91.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.7K
$298.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$3.85Jul 28, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$3.85Jul 28, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$89.00Jul 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$3.85Jul 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$32.08Jul 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$10.48Jul 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$445.00Jul 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$1.53Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$1.53Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$1.53Jul 28, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$3.02Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$12.90Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$17.20Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$3.67Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$802.18Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$3.85Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$38.50Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?$22.94Jul 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?$15.60Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?$29.60Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
32 closed markets, 47% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $127.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.