Fragrant-Firewall
0x1d66d98518f21288355bbc6455c5ad29b4a3928f
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$16.4K
Total PnL
$533.43
Realised
$941.84
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2881 shares @ 84.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.4K
$-61.34
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1774 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$6.92
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2002 shares @ 78.7¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-37.44
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1600 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$6.14
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2500 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-62.50
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1689 shares @ 83.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$-10.61
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
1300 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$4.55
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
1394 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.1K
$55.92
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
1010 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$6.65
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$685.00
$85.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$138.47Jun 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $500M one day after launch?$80.00Jun 13, 02:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.85Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$720.92Jun 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.08Jun 13, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$258.67Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$82.00Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$408.00Jun 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$820.00Jun 13, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$71.15Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$13.00Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.23Jun 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$37.59Jun 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$18.00Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.39Jun 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.21Jun 12, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $349.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.