Front-Legislator-Birth
0x1da867ce1f1aafe706f543f67a6692ad5b35aa05
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
566 shares @ 70.6¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$499.80
$99.80
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
468 shares @ 85.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$404.69
$4.69
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
390 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$352.60
$52.60
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$318.97
$18.97
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
347 shares @ 86.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.17
$-6.83
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
287 shares @ 70.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$276.74
$75.74
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
328 shares @ 61.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$260.66
$60.66
- NO
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$247.75
$47.75
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
353 shares @ 85.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$236.47
$-63.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
226 shares @ 88.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$223.86
$23.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill USD reach 18,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?$141.87Jun 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$100.00Jun 4, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 4, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$201.17Jun 4, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$201.60Jun 4, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$200.00Jun 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$300.00Jun 4, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$300.00Jun 4, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 3, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$253.16Jun 2, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$116.28Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$200.00Jun 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 2, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$300.00Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$200.00Jun 2, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$200.00Jun 2, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$300.00Jun 2, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$200.00Jun 2, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$300.00Jun 2, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$234.24Jun 1, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $168.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 04:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.