Hilarious-Heel
0x1ddbdf5885336aaf17245933d55ea5d612d844c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
2058 shares @ 36.7¢·now 48.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$993.98
$238.12
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
1129 shares @ 26.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$237.01
$-62.99
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1047 shares @ 38.2¢·now 14.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$151.32
$-248.68
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$37.72
$9.72
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
200 shares @ 15.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$25.90
$-4.90
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
3654 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-385.72
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
1152 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?
1100 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-420.00
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?
1033 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-297.62
- STARS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars
493 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-261.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.1KJul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$202.08Jul 20, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$307.22Jul 20, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$194.84Jul 20, 18:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.21Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$75.02Jul 19, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$29.78Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$932.28Jul 19, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$28.49Jul 19, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$11.34Jul 19, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$12.48Jul 19, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$1.79Jul 19, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$5.19Jul 18, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$308.81Jul 18, 22:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.07Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.47Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$155.27Jul 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.4KJul 17, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $299.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.