0x1de420d7c3d3c7503d099a22082987c818c787fa
0x1de420d7c3d3c7503d099a22082987c818c787fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$109.88
Total PnL
$5.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.23
$3.33
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.61
$2.70
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$0.89
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.61
$0.71
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.19
$0.29
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.97
$4.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
14 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.92
$-0.20
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.73
$-0.26
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.50
$0.11
- NO
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.44
$0.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3.76Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?$4.88Jun 13, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$16.00Jun 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?$2.17Jun 12, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.83Jun 11, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.00Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.00Jun 4, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?$9.60Jun 1, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.14May 31, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?$0.00May 29, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.47May 29, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$6.71May 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$3.41May 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.75May 28, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$2.38May 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$6.25May 27, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$13.33May 27, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$16.12May 27, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.