Showy-Stove
0x1df2b172d9666c4eb35d8a7c176eed81b08dcdf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-984.60
Realised
$18.91
Win rate
87%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
926 shares @ 82.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$902.98
$138.25
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
420 shares @ 93.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$418.11
$25.71
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
480 shares @ 81.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$372.00
$-20.80
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
364 shares @ 78.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$181.99
$-103.66
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
250 shares @ 60.3¢·now 28.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$72.37
$-78.32
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
100 shares @ 53.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$61.50
$7.70
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
70 shares @ 61.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.85
$17.15
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
60 shares @ 83.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.87
$7.77
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
70 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.25
$-1.05
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.38
$8.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$39.88May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$28.23May 29, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$10.35May 29, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$10.93May 29, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$3.77May 29, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$12.58May 29, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$30.40May 29, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$69.79May 29, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?$5.60May 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$9.94May 27, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$36.52May 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$8.33May 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$0.90May 27, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$9.33May 27, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$99.40May 27, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$24.05May 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$19.26May 24, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$118.12May 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.81May 24, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.13May 24, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $19.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".