Bowed-Comprehension
0x1e105911ebbb6f438fcca272d9e09aaef0b10cd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$335.0K
Total PnL
$19.0K
Realised
$29.4K
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
335000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$327.8K
$160.3K
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
335000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.2K
$-160.3K
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
110973 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
89058 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-178.12
- NO
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
83450 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
71245 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- LAKERS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers
50000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-385.30
- NO
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
10601 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?
7202 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-432.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$29.83Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Aug 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$29.83Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
$10.7K · 57% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $970.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.