Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Probability
5¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$834.82
Liquidity
$21.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
-26.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 5¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $21.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 420.5h
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Biggest hourly move: -27.5pp at 2d ago (to 6¢).
Show top 8 of 46 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -26.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -27.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -27.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 7¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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