Altruistic-Wellbeing
0x1e5a5afb589e9aebd264e394d5c9543d3860d56e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
180
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$525.02
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
881 shares @ 54.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$488.96
$6.28
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
1001 shares @ 34.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$335.41
$-7.56
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
322 shares @ 59.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$285.24
$93.21
- NO
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
527 shares @ 30.7¢·now 44.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$232.05
$70.23
- NO
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1954 shares @ 36.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$205.15
$-503.68
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
324 shares @ 33.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$140.99
$31.37
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
861 shares @ 35.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$116.24
$-185.11
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
150 shares @ 53.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$104.24
$24.24
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
3279 shares @ 5.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.08
$-91.14
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
2087 shares @ 15.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.71
$-256.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? $9.44Jul 24, 13:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? $1.35Jul 22, 16:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$53.00Jul 21, 15:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?$13.00Jul 20, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?$16.34Jul 20, 16:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$38.69Jul 19, 19:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $11.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.