Quaint-Alphabet
0x1e64547bffdf64ada77483fe766a50ecb1469b93
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$100.33
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-266.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
93 shares @ 70.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$87.61
$22.23
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5089 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.72
$-27.99
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
46038 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1314 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 16?
600 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?
200 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 14?
200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 21?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 16?
100 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $60.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.