Imperfect-Council
0x1e77401bb590f95c1202e4fc65d4028c09c5c65f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.6K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
30877 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.9K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
35102 shares @ 14.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$3.7K
$-1.3K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$41.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.70
$-13.30
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
49000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
800 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-696.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
500 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-294.60
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-440.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.