Joint-Footnote
0x1ec1e93211d760500fa888fee7048ad8177079af
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$80.88
Total PnL
$1.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
19 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$15.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.47
$6.47
- T1
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- NEW YORK METS
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
9 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.57
$2.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 17?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 21.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.58
$1.58
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?
252 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.40
$0.40
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 31.7¢·now 32.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13 shares @ 38.2¢·now 38.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$16.75May 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.02May 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$5.14May 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.09May 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$6.05May 17, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00May 17, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00May 17, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$11.76May 17, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$10.10May 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$10.20May 17, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00May 16, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" this week?$1.01May 16, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boeing" this week?$1.02May 16, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$19.23May 16, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.05May 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$10.34May 16, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?$5.19May 16, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$11.90May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$10.11May 16, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00May 16, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".