Unripe-Recognition
0x1ec46ab1fe7e510bce205c3d6e71fedc3758145b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$72.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?
1674 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-879.95
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
537 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 109m?
399 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
351 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- 76ERS
Heat vs. 76ers
300 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-117.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
170 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
156 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Celtics
140 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-53.20
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$249.69Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$201.19Jun 12, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$68.97May 20, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$211.64May 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$60.31May 14, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$200.55May 14, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$230.77Apr 2, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$210.00Mar 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$240.46Mar 14, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$200.00Mar 12, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$137.56Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$100.00Feb 24, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$100.00Feb 24, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Clippers$12.82Feb 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Clippers$4.65Feb 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Clippers$1.74Feb 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Clippers$0.55Feb 20, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?$200.00Feb 6, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?$1.39Feb 4, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?$3.84Feb 4, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $46.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.