Unusual-Fish
0x1edd7506ec0c249b41a6c0f62143a24221b3e514
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-31.08
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
26826 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-357.62
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
2728 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-314.99
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
2553 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
2096 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-146.75
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
1868 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Healthcare" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$8.22May 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$6.90May 23, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$102.79May 23, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$96.83May 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$23.49May 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$35.24May 23, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$0.48May 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.34May 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$106.79May 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$11.54May 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$1.43May 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$10.46May 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$2.86May 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$0.07May 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$13.00May 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$0.34May 13, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$1.26May 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?$51.20May 13, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?$12.98May 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$0.95May 12, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.