Verifiable-Obstacle
0x1ee9a5fc09665909c0cce297c581703bfbb9197f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$32.2K
Total PnL
$6.6K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
80%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
4673 shares @ 58.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.9K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
3490 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.4K
$77.40
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?
1035 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.0K
$24.87
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
1079 shares @ 55.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.0K
$399.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
1240 shares @ 64.4¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$966.86
$168.55
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
7910 shares @ 7.4¢·now 12.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$961.06
$378.25
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1222 shares @ 59.8¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$922.66
$192.45
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
977 shares @ 31.7¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$922.48
$612.78
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
1105 shares @ 65.3¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$895.17
$173.45
- NO
Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
840 shares @ 85.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$768.60
$48.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$112.15Jun 13, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$178.00Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- MERGEWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$31.61Jun 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?$61.49Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$40.00Jun 13, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$30.20Jun 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 30+ VAR stoppages during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.70Jun 13, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 10–20%?$234.07Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Future perform "Mask Off" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony?$2.34Jun 13, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$11.00Jun 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.00Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPeru Presidential Election Invalidated?$161.52Jun 13, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPeru Presidential Election Invalidated?$469.42Jun 13, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sergino Dest be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match?$17.78Jun 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$11.20Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$33.50Jun 13, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$24.95Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?$3.00Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?$179.00Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?$7.25Jun 13, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $64.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.