Lighthearted-Trading
0x1f04be08c356f7c5e013f61bc1adb94dd602cb56
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$325.98
Total PnL
$-14.76
Realised
$-12.08
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
91 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$91.00
$1.82
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
66 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$66.00
$7.26
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
38 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$38.00
$19.38
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
37 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$37.00
$15.54
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
35 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$35.00
$6.19
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$22.00
$2.42
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
15 shares @ 12.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.99
$12.13
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$10.00
$1.20
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.00
$1.72
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.00
$1.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$4.73Jan 16, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$3.87Jan 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$0.86Jan 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$12.96Jan 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$13.50Jan 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$4.48Jan 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$8.96Jan 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$13.44Jan 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.78Jan 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$7.56Jan 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.78Jan 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$7.32Jan 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$7.32Jan 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$3.38Jan 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$9.68Jan 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$2.28Jan 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$11.10Jan 15, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$2.45Jan 15, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$15.54Jan 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$2.10Jan 15, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".