Dull-Universe
0x1f0a343513aa6060488fabe96960e6d1e177f7aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
159
Open notional
$164.5K
Total PnL
$8.2K
Realised
$8.6K
Win rate
94%
124 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
10345 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.6K
$84.18
- NO
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
10485 shares @ 88.6¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$24.98
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
8580 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.3K
$41.42
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
8583 shares @ 84.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.5K
$229.73
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8609 shares @ 79.7¢·now 82.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.1K
$211.39
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7572 shares @ 88.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.8K
$57.60
- NO
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
5766 shares @ 89.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$260.15
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
5794 shares @ 95.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.4K
$-142.53
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
5315 shares @ 89.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.7K
$-122.63
- NO
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
4407 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.4K
$33.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$730.15Jul 25, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$455.00Jul 25, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$0.55Jul 25, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$194.57Jul 25, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?$2.46Jul 25, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$7.58Jul 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$76.33Jul 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$122.46Jul 25, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$29.37Jul 25, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$26.70Jul 25, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$26.97Jul 25, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?$0.38Jul 25, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?$0.23Jul 25, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$19.65Jul 25, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$6.42Jul 25, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$0.16Jul 25, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?$223.99Jul 25, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?$48.45Jul 25, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$58.03Jul 25, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$54.87Jul 25, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 124 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
124 closed markets, 94% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $97.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 124 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.