Yoon out of custody before 2027?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $21.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.