Authorized-Lunge
0x1f48e6e4ecbaff2aa9708eed824c097607232744
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 1?
285 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 29-January 4?
281 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 5?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?
271 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 December 29-January 4?
271 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 13?
265 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?
213 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 3?$2.51Jun 3, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 28?$1.49May 28, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$89.71May 26, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$86.57May 26, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$2.49May 22, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$89.28May 19, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$86.69May 19, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$3.37May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$1.50May 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$76.49May 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$74.96May 11, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?$0.00May 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 28?$1.65Apr 27, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 19?$1.67Apr 18, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 11?$0.00Apr 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$1.84Apr 14, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$91.97Apr 11, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 12?$0.00Mar 31, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 on March 28?$2.16Mar 29, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$90.68Mar 28, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $25.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.