CryptoMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 28?

Probability

17¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$7.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 17¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 70h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 70h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 70 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 69.9h

    HIGH
  • 18:06Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 70h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.

Biggest hourly move: -30.5pp at 00:00 (to 18¢).

Show all 19 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:06 · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 16:00 · -3.0pp → 16¢
  • 15:00 · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 13:00 · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 12:00 · -5.5pp → 17¢
  • 10:00 · -4.5pp → 17¢
  • 09:00 · -4.0pp → 18¢
  • 06:00 · -4.5pp → 17¢
  • 05:00 · -4.0pp → 18¢
  • 04:00 · -13.5pp → 18¢
  • 02:00 · -7.0pp → 18¢
  • 00:00 · -30.5pp → 18¢
  • 22:00 · -10.5pp → 17¢
  • 20:00 · -4.5pp → 19¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 18¢
  • 1d ago · -3.5pp → 18¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 20¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 18¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventEthereum price on April 28?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket