Scarce-Journey
0x20427c12e002a1038501bfe8a2568d5c2b5d1c4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-870.08
Realised
$14.47
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
887 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-287.26
- NO
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
355 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-26.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 18?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or below on April 18?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 29?
160 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 23?
94 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
85 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?
82 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.16May 20, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.91May 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$283.50May 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$59.70May 15, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$223.51May 15, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$217.50May 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$217.50May 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$26.30May 14, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.10May 14, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$20.00May 14, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$207.50May 12, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.73May 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.29May 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.46May 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.42May 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.27May 12, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00May 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$19.48May 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$16.40May 11, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$1.43May 11, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $42.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.